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Euro/U.S. Dollar (^EURUSD)

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Euro/U.S. Dollar Futures Market News and Commentary

Dollar Rises as Iran War Continues

The dollar index (DXY00) rallied to a 10.5-month high on Monday, finishing up by 0.40%.  The dollar gained on safe-haven support on Monday amid concerns of a protracted war in Iran. President Trump told the Financial Times on Sunday that he wants to "take the oil in Iran" and could seize the export hub of Kharg Island, which would involve US ground troops and mark a major escalation of the conflict.  Gains in the dollar were limited, as Monday's sharp decline in T-note yields weakened the dollar's interest-rate differentials. 

The US Mar Dallas Fed manufacturing activity survey fell by -0.4 to -0.2, weaker than expectations of an increase to 2.0.

Fed Chair Powell said inflation expectations are well anchored and that the FOMC will achieve its 2% inflation goal.  He added, "It's too soon to know what the economic effects will be" from the Iran war.

Swaps markets are discounting the odds at 3% for a +25 bp rate hike at the April 28-29 FOMC meeting.

The dollar c... Read more

Commitment of Traders Positions as of Mar 24, 2026

View Chart Details
Commercials - Long / Short
444,118 (+8,988)
490,876 (-2,687)
Non-Commercials - Long / Short
200,025 (-12,861)
190,746 (-1,008)
Dealers / Intermediary - Long / Short
39,995 (+10,393)
357,133 (-2,885)
Asset / Manager - Long / Short
446,373 (-5,807)
158,433 (+791)
Leveraged Funds - Long / Short
97,985 (-8,933)
111,523 (-2,347)
Other Reportables - Long / Short
20,637 (+661)
15,380 (+933)

Price Performance

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Period Period Low Period High Performance
1-Month
1.14111 +0.37%
on 03/13/26
1.17959 -2.91%
on 03/02/26
-0.03638 (-3.08%)
since 02/27/26
3-Month
1.14111 +0.37%
on 03/13/26
1.20806 -5.19%
on 01/27/26
-0.03189 (-2.71%)
since 12/26/25
52-Week
1.07785 +6.26%
on 04/01/25
1.20806 -5.19%
on 01/27/26
+0.06241 (+5.76%)
since 03/28/25

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Barchart Technical Opinion

The Barchart Technical Opinion rating is a 40% Sell with a Strengthening short term outlook on maintaining the current direction.

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Key Turning Points

3rd Resistance Point 1.15852
2nd Resistance Point 1.15531
1st Resistance Point 1.15075
Last Price 1.14554
1st Support Level 1.14298
2nd Support Level 1.13977
3rd Support Level 1.13521

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52-Week High 1.20806
Fibonacci 61.8% 1.15832
Last Price 1.14554
Fibonacci 50% 1.14296
Fibonacci 38.2% 1.12759
52-Week Low 1.07785

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